GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/26/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Swindon Supermarine are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

68.4%

Model confidence

68.4%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownWWWLW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Swindon SupermarineWWLWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Merthyr TownSwindon Supermarine
67.5Attack57.9
53.2Defence27.0
53.2Form38.9
57.2Power42.8
3.33xG1.44
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