Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Tuesday, 28 July 2026Last updated 12:39
Merthyr Town

Merthyr Town

Home
D
30
Full time
Swansea

Swansea

Away
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Swansea33%
Merthyr Town33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Merthyr Town
33%
Draw
33%
Swansea
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Merthyr Town)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Merthyr Town)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Merthyr TownMerthyr Town
D

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Merthyr Town33%
Draw33%
Swansea33%

Swansea leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Merthyr Town head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (D), while Swansea arrive in unknown form.

Merthyr Town have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Swansea have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Merthyr Town and Swansea in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Merthyr Town 3333%, Draw 3333%, Swansea 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Merthyr Town

Merthyr Town

D
vs Yeovil Town
14 Jul 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Merthyr Town vs Swansea?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Merthyr Town vs Swansea?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Merthyr Town vs Swansea?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Merthyr Town vs Swansea?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more