GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/7/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sholing are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownLWLWW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SholingDDWLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Merthyr TownSholing
67.5Attack33.3
53.2Defence100.0
53.2Form100.0
57.2Power83.3
1.85xG1.34
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