Merthyr Townvs
Sholing
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Merthyr Town are 4W-0D-0L in their last 4 (WWWW), averaging 3.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sholing are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 3.50/1.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.25