Merthyr Townvs
Poole Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/12/2025, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Merthyr Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Poole Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40