GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/28/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Poole Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

53.9%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownWWLLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Poole TownLWDWL

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownPoole Town
67.5Attack33.3
53.2Defence66.7
53.2Form50.0
57.2Power53.0
2.09xG1.21
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