GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/8/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Plymouth Parkway are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth Parkway hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 75.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownDWWWD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Plymouth ParkwayWLLWD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Merthyr TownPlymouth Parkway
67.5Attack100.0
53.2Defence83.3
53.2Form66.7
57.2Power75.5
1.93xG1.56
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