Merthyr Townvs
Plymouth Parkway
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/14/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Merthyr Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Plymouth Parkway are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth Parkway hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 75.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40