Merthyr Townvs
Marlow
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/19/2024, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Merthyr Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Marlow are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
85.7%
Model confidence
85.7%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 18 · avg 1.00/3.60