Merthyr Townvs
Hungerford Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/21/2025, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Merthyr Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hungerford Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20