GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/21/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hungerford Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

53.4%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownWLLDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hungerford TownDWLWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Merthyr TownHungerford Town
67.5Attack61.1
53.2Defence44.4
53.2Form50.8
57.2Power52.7
2.46xG1.57
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