Merthyr Townvs
Hungerford Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/1/2024, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Merthyr Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hungerford Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20