Merthyr Townvs
Hendon
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/13/2024, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Merthyr Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Hendon are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40