GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/24/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hayes & Yeading United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

60.9%

Model confidence

60.9%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownLLLWL

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Hayes & Yeading UnitedLLWWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Merthyr TownHayes & Yeading United
67.5Attack46.8
53.2Defence46.8
53.2Form36.5
57.2Power45.1
2.42xG1.17
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