GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/9/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Havant & Wville are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 38.9-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

67.1%

Model confidence

67.1%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownWWWLW

GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Havant & WvilleLDWDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Merthyr TownHavant & Wville
67.5Attack0.0
53.2Defence33.3
53.2Form0.0
57.2Power18.3
2.65xG1.06
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