Merthyr Townvs
Harrow Borough
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/27/2024, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Merthyr Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Harrow Borough are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
76.4%
Model confidence
76.4%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60