GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/24/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hanwell Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hanwell Town hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

50.5%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownLWWDW

GF 19 · GA 8 · avg 3.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hanwell TownWWLLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Merthyr TownHanwell Town
67.5Attack66.7
53.2Defence50.0
53.2Form66.7
57.2Power64.8
2.16xG1.43
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