Merthyr Townvs
Hanwell Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/24/2024, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Merthyr Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hanwell Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hanwell Town hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 8 · avg 3.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60