Merthyr Townvs
Hanwell Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/16/2023, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Merthyr Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hanwell Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Hanwell Town hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60