Merthyr Townvs
Gosport Borough
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/21/2024, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Merthyr Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gosport Borough are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
60.5%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80