Merthyr Townvs
Gosport Borough
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/23/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Merthyr Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Gosport Borough are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
60.5%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80