GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/23/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Gosport Borough are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

60.5%

Model confidence

60.5%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownLWWWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Gosport BoroughLWWDW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Merthyr TownGosport Borough
67.5Attack0.0
53.2Defence66.7
53.2Form0.0
57.2Power26.7
2.29xG1.08
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