GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/1/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Gloucester City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

65.4%

Model confidence

65.4%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownWWWWW

GF 19 · GA 7 · avg 3.80/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Gloucester CityDWLWW

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownGloucester City
67.5Attack33.3
53.2Defence33.3
53.2Form0.0
57.2Power26.7
2.61xG1.11
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