GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/26/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Frome Town are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Frome Town hold a 40.8-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 98.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownWLWWD

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Frome TownDLLDD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Merthyr TownFrome Town
67.5Attack100.0
53.2Defence100.0
53.2Form100.0
57.2Power98.0
1.80xG1.67
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