Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:35
Merthyr Town

Merthyr Town

Home
D
12
Full time
Forest Green

Forest Green

Away
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Forest Green47%
Draw35%
Merthyr Town18%
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
Merthyr Town
18%
Draw
35%
Forest Green
47%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Merthyr Town)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Merthyr Town)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Merthyr TownMerthyr Town
D

Probability breakdown

49% confidence
Merthyr Town18%
Draw35%
Forest Green47%

Forest Green leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Merthyr Town head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (D), while Forest Green arrive in unknown form.

Merthyr Town have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Forest Green have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Merthyr Town and Forest Green in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Forest Green to win with 49% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Merthyr Town 1804%, Draw 3500%, Forest Green 4696%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Merthyr Town

Merthyr Town

D
vs Yeovil Town
14 Jul 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Merthyr Town vs Forest Green?

GoalVio's model predicts Forest Green to win with 49% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Merthyr Town vs Forest Green?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Merthyr Town vs Forest Green?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Merthyr Town vs Forest Green?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more