GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/11/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dorchester Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

62.8%

Model confidence

62.8%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownDDWWW

GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Dorchester TownDWWDW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Merthyr TownDorchester Town
67.5Attack52.4
53.2Defence38.9
53.2Form47.6
57.2Power48.3
2.74xG1.33
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