GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/27/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Didcot Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 26.7-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 30.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

81.7%

Model confidence

81.7%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownLLWDW

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Didcot TownWWDLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Merthyr TownDidcot Town
67.5Attack35.7
53.2Defence25.4
53.2Form22.2
57.2Power30.5
3.54xG0.86
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