Merthyr Townvs
Chesham United
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/9/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Merthyr Town are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Chesham United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chesham United
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80