Merthyr Townvs
Chertsey Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/22/2025, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Merthyr Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chertsey Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20