GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/22/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chertsey Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownWWDWD

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Chertsey TownLLWLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Merthyr TownChertsey Town
67.5Attack83.3
53.2Defence83.3
53.2Form100.0
57.2Power89.7
1.83xG1.64
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