GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/22/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bracknell Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

62.8%

Model confidence

62.8%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownDDDWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Bracknell TownWLWLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Merthyr TownBracknell Town
67.5Attack50.0
53.2Defence0.0
53.2Form50.0
57.2Power34.5
2.64xG1.25
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