GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/13/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Beaconsfield Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

65.6%

Model confidence

65.6%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownWDWWW

GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Beaconsfield TownLLLDD

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownBeaconsfield Town
67.5Attack50.0
53.2Defence38.1
53.2Form38.1
57.2Power44.0
2.82xG1.25
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