GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/4/2025, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Basingstoke Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

66.9%

Model confidence

66.9%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownWWWDD

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Basingstoke TownLLLWL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Merthyr TownBasingstoke Town
67.5Attack50.0
53.2Defence0.0
53.2Form0.0
57.2Power21.5
2.80xG1.17
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