Merthyr Townvs
Basingstoke Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/4/2025, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Merthyr Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Basingstoke Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
66.9%
Model confidence
66.9%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60