GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/11/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Totton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AFC Totton are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Totton hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 65.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while AFC Totton holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Totton

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

AFC Totton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownLLLDD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AFC TottonLWWWD

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownAFC Totton
67.5Attack70.6
53.2Defence64.3
53.2Form64.3
57.2Power65.5
1.53xG1.88
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