Merthyr Townvs
AFC Telford United
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 8/18/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Merthyr Town 2-2 AFC Telford United
Original prediction
Merthyr Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Merthyr TownLWLWW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
AFC Telford UnitedLLLWL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownAFC Telford United
50.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
50.0Form0.0
56.2Power26.7
1.75xG1.00