Mersthamvs
Sutton Common Rovers
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Trophy · 9/9/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sutton Common Rovers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Merstham are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.67 scored and 4.33 conceded, while Sutton Common Rovers are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 5.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sutton Common Rovers hold a 47.2-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the FA Trophy, while Sutton Common Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sutton Common Rovers
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Sutton Common Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.67/4.33
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 5.00/1.00