Merelbekevs
Cercle Brugge II
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merelbeke · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Merelbeke 3-1 Cercle Brugge II
Original prediction
Merelbeke
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 45.2% | 44.5% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.1% | 26.2% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 29.8% | 29.3% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Merelbeke
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Merelbeke has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60