Mercedesvs
Victoriano Arenas
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 7/12/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Mercedes are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Victoriano Arenas are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.2 against 53.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 12% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
44.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60