Mercedesvs
Sacachispas
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Primera C · 8/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Mercedes are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sacachispas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and sacachispas hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Primera C, favouring a draw with 36.4% confidence, a 17% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40