MercedesvsLeandro N. Alem

Mercedes are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Leandro N. Alem are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mercedes hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 43.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.7% in the Primera C, while Mercedes holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.