MercedesvsJuventud Unida

Mercedes are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Juventud Unida are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mercedes hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.