Mercedesvs
JJ Urquiza
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 6/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Mercedes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while JJ Urquiza are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Mercedes hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 12% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 0 · GA 5 · avg 0.00/1.00