Mercedesvs
Deportivo Paraguayo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 6/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mercedes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Mercedes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Deportivo Paraguayo are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Mercedes hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.2% in the Primera C, while Mercedes holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mercedes
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
30.2%
Mercedes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40