Mercedesvs
Centro Español
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 3/1/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Mercedes are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Centro Español are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.2 against 54.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.2% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
33.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40