GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera C · 3/28/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Mercedes are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Berazategui are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Berazategui hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

40.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MercedesDLWWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BerazateguiDDWWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MercedesBerazategui
33.3Attack34.8
79.7Defence76.8
47.8Form52.2
54.2Power56.3
0.50xG0.44
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