GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera C · 4/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mercedes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Mercedes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Argentino Rosario are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Mercedes hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.4% in the Primera C, while Mercedes holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mercedes

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

28.4%

Mercedes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MercedesDLDLW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Argentino RosarioWDDLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
MercedesArgentino Rosario
33.3Attack31.9
79.7Defence59.4
47.8Form30.4
54.2Power42.9
0.91xG0.39
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