Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mercadal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mercadal 1-5 Porreres
Original prediction
Mercadal
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Mercadal
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Mercadal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MercadalWLLDL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PorreresLLWWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MercadalPorreres
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.89xG1.61