Merani Tbilisivs
Margveti 2006
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Liga 3 · 4/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merani Tbilisi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Merani Tbilisi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Margveti 2006 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Merani Tbilisi hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the Liga 3, while Merani Tbilisi holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merani Tbilisi
Probability
59.5%
Model confidence
59.5%
Merani Tbilisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40