GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 4/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merani Tbilisi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Merani Tbilisi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Margveti 2006 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Merani Tbilisi hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the Liga 3, while Merani Tbilisi holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merani Tbilisi

Probability

59.5%

Model confidence

59.5%

Merani Tbilisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merani TbilisiWWLDL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 4/5
Margveti 2006DLLLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Merani TbilisiMargveti 2006
45.1Attack33.3
54.9Defence37.3
51.0Form35.3
49.9Power37.6
1.90xG0.80
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