Merani TbilisivsLokomotivi Tbilisi

Merani Tbilisi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lokomotivi Tbilisi are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Merani Tbilisi hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.3% in the Liga 3, while Merani Tbilisi holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.