GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 4/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merani Tbilisi · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Merani Tbilisi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Iberia 2010 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Merani Tbilisi hold a 35.4-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 14.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Liga 3, while Merani Tbilisi holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merani Tbilisi

Probability

79.1%

Model confidence

14.2%

Merani Tbilisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merani TbilisiDLWWL

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Iberia 2010LLLDD

GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Merani TbilisiIberia 2010
45.1Attack21.6
54.9Defence2.0
51.0Form5.9
49.9Power14.4
2.66xG0.61
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