GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 3/7/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merani Tbilisi · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Merani Tbilisi are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 5.00 conceded, while Gardabani are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Merani Tbilisi hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 28.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.6% in the Liga 3, while Merani Tbilisi holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merani Tbilisi

Probability

71.6%

Model confidence

71.6%

Merani Tbilisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merani TbilisiLLLLL

GF 7 · GA 25 · avg 1.40/5.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
GardabaniLW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Merani TbilisiGardabani
45.1Attack27.5
54.9Defence25.5
51.0Form25.5
49.9Power28.2
2.32xG0.64
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