Merani Tbilisivs
FC Iberia 1999 II
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Liga 3 · 10/23/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Iberia 1999 II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Merani Tbilisi 0-4 FC Iberia 1999 II
Original prediction
FC Iberia 1999 II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 18:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.1% | 35.4% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.7% | 28.3% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.71 | 33.2% | 36.3% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
FC Iberia 1999 II
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
FC Iberia 1999 II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80