GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 3/14/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merani Martvili · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Merani Martvili are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Merani Tbilisi are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Merani Martvili hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (64.4 v 49.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.7% in the Liga 3, while Merani Martvili holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merani Martvili

Probability

60.7%

Model confidence

60.7%

Merani Martvili has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merani MartviliWDLWL

GF 10 · GA 17 · avg 2.00/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Merani TbilisiDLLLL

GF 4 · GA 18 · avg 0.80/3.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Merani MartviliMerani Tbilisi
64.4Attack45.1
66.7Defence54.9
63.2Form51.0
64.4Power49.9
1.95xG0.80
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