Merani MartvilivsMatchakhela

Merani Martvili are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Matchakhela are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Merani Martvili hold a 37.5-point power-rating edge (64.4 v 26.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.9% in the Liga 3, while Merani Martvili holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.